Farmland values plateau, dip in Plains and Midwest

Bankers in the Farm Belt say expectations of lower income this year are slowing or even reversing the years-long climb in farmland values. The Chicago Federal Reserve Bank said land values slipped by 1 percent during the January-March period. “Almost three-quarters of responding bankers expected farmland values to be stable during the second quarter of 2014, but there was growing sentiment among them that agricultural land values would be headed downward,” said the bank’s AgLetter.

“Expectations of lower profits for crop producers have generally halted the rise in district cropland prices,” said the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank. In a quarterly report, it said “some bankers expected additional easing in cropland values in the next three months but felt that ranchland values could strengthen further.” Ranchland values rose by 2.6 percent during the first quarter.

With corn and soybean futures prices moving lower, bankers in the Plains expect lower farm income this year than last, said the Kansas City Fed. Feed prices dropped during the first quarter of this year and, along with higher livestock prices, should improve livestock profit margins. The Chicago Fed said lower land rental rates  in its region reflected lowered prospects for profits. Reuters said crop land values dropped 6 percent in the St Louis Federal Reserve district.

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