Climate change gets the blame for California drought

The persistent high pressure ridge of air in the northeastern Pacific Ocean that has blocked winter storms from reaching California is three times more likely to occur in current times than before the Industrial Revolution began the buildup of greenhouse gases, said scientists at Stanford University. Blocking ridges of air occur periodically but the current ridge is exceptional for its size and duration, they say. It has diverted precipitation-bearing storms into Alaska. This is an event that is more extreme than any in the observed record, and our research suggests that global warming is playing a role right now,” said associate professor Noah Diffenbaugh in a statement.

Five teams using different approaches came to the same conclusion – the severe heat wave in Australia through much of 2013 and persisting into this year was “almost certainly a direct consequence of greenhouse gases released by human activity,” says the New York Times. “It is perhaps the most definitive statement climate scientists have made tying a specific weather event to global warming.” Their findings came from computer comparisons of what the climate would have been like with and without greenhouse gases released by human activity, “a type of research widely acknowledged to be imperfect.”

As far as the California drought, the Times said two out of three research groups found no clear evidence climate change had increased the odds of the arid weather. But they generally agreed the effects of the drought were worsened by global warming, it said.

The research, published as a supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society is available here.

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